Saturday, February 12, 2011

Republican Subcommittee Chairman Lauds Obama Housing Smackdown

Illinois’ 13th District Republican Representative Judy Biggert, Chairman of the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Insurance, Housing and Community Opportunity, is looking forward to joining with other committee Republicans to quickly extract the federal government from its role as primary financial risk taker in the housing market in this country. Joining in the Obama Treasury Department attack on any continuing role for federal housing subsidies in the form of residential mortgage guarantees, Biggert said in her E-mail message to constituents yesterday: “Taxpayers cannot continue to shoulder the financial risks associated with [federally chartered mortgage guarantors] Fannie [Mae] and Freddie [Mac]. … Our goal should be to choose a path that will quickly and prudently wind down the government’s role and restore stability to the housing market.”

In other words, Republican leaders are climbing aboard the Obama Treasury train of proposed measures which will raise home mortgage interest rates, cut back availability of 30 year fixed rate mortgages to even the most creditworthy borrowers, and altogether eliminate availability of low down payment lending to first time homebuyers. If you don’t already own your home, the American Dream may be pulling out of your station and rapidly receding into the distance as the train whistle hoots its demise. In a long awaited white paper released yesterday by Treasury, the Obama administration proposes cutting the size of mortgages Fannie and Freddie can purchase from private lenders, from the present $729,750 down to $625,500 as soon as the third quarter of 2011. Minimum required down payments will go up to 10% for conventional loans, and rise from the current 3.5% up to 5% for FHA first time buyer mortgages.

Finally, Treasury proposes increasing the fees Fannie and Freddie charge conventional lenders for guaranteeing the mortgages these lenders underwrite.

In a related Obama administration attack aimed specifically at lower income home owners, the administration proposes a $2.5 billion reduction in the LIHEAP home heating fuel assistance program. What’s the point in owning your home if you can’t afford to heat it?

While, admittedly, excesses in home mortgage lending, and the securitization of home loans into derivative instruments, contributed heavily to the near collapse of worldwide financial markets and drove the U. S. economy into the worst recession in decades, it is beginning to look like the Obama administration’s use of a purgative on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could be the cure that proves worse than the disease. Available credit for both the construction and purchase of new homes has already dried up into a syrupy consistency clogging the arteries of any hope for quick recovery in the construction sector of the American economy, and the Obama Treasury Department recommendations for home mortgage market reform will keep construction workers, trade contractors and home builders on the sidelines of the economic recovery for years to come.

Thursday, January 27, 2011

Ireland and China Back Obama’s Clean Energy Policy in Illinois

President Obama’s bold new goal that “by 2035, 80% of America’s electricity will come from clean energy sources” will be getting hard dollar backing from China’s Xinjiang Goldwind Science and Technology Company Ltd. and Ireland’s Dublin based Mainstream Renewable Power, Ltd. which plan to begin construction this coming July of the Shady Oaks wind farm in Lee County’s Brooklyn Township near Compton, Illinois. Last month the Illinois Power Agency awarded Goldwind the successful bid on the 106.5 megawatt Shady Oaks project, which will consist of 71 Goldwind 1.5 megawatt permanent magnet direct drive wind turbines, and is planned to produce enough power for 30,000 homes in the community.

Goldwind and Mainstream expect to spend about $200 million building the wind farm, which is projected to produce 120 construction jobs and 10 or 12 permanent jobs once the project goes into commercial operation. The Shady Oaks wind farm will sell electricity to Commonwealth Edison under a 20 year power purchase agreement. Commercial operation of the facility is planned for the second quarter of 2012.

Major U. S. manufacturing participation in the project comes through Goldwind’s purchase of $26 million in bearings for the wind turbines from Canton, Ohio based Timken Company.

Goldwind USA CEO Tim Rosenzweig remarked: “We are elated to have been selected to build this project and to bring critical jobs and opportunity to the local wind industry in Illinois.” Mainstream CEO Eddie O’Connor chimed in with the comment: “Our success today comes down to the strength of our relationship with Goldwind and our joint mission to provide low-cost, reliable renewable energy to the U. S.”

Wednesday, January 26, 2011

State of the Union – What’s In It for the Construction Industry?

President Obama is a Chicago bred politician, and as such he knows road building contractors are some of the most generous political donors among business people. Yet, in his State of the Union speech, he only glanced briefly in their direction. And, while clean energy construction also got a brief nod, there was nothing specific in the speech for either construction industry sector to hang its hat on. Furthermore, events in the House of Representatives since the speech ended make any hope of significantly increased infrastructure spending legislation look bleaker than ever.

True, Obama did vaguely refer to a budget that will invest “especially [in] clean energy technology,” and proposed taking subsidy dollars from oil companies and using them to set “a new goal: by 2035, 80% of America’s electricity will come from clean energy sources.” Does this mean his plan is to raise oil and natural gas prices to levels which will make “clean” electricity economically competitive?

Obama proposed that the executive branch should seize control of the allocation of federal infrastructure funding from Congress by throwing down the gauntlet with this bold and impractical challenge: “If a bill comes to my desk with earmarks inside, I will veto it.” That should serve to bring federal expenditures for infrastructure construction to a screeching halt. Unless, of course, he means the earmarks will already be inserted into his proposed budget legislation.

During the middle of the address, Obama said a few things which sounded promising for the construction industry. “The third step in winning the future is rebuilding America.” He mentioned high speed rail – for which billions were appropriated in the stimulus package – and which is already meeting resistance from newly elected Republican governors in some of the states which won high speed rail stimulus grants. He promised to “put more Americans to work repairing crumbling roads and bridges.” However, three pages down the teleprompter, he also proposed to “freeze annual domestic spending for the next five years.”

In the tempest of House leadership changes, and the absence of detailed proposals from either side of the aisle, it is difficult to say what these remarks will translate into in terms of appropriations legislation, other than to predict, “not much.” The federal Highway Trust Fund reauthorization legislation is now in the hands of the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, which just held its first organizational meeting this morning under the leadership of Chairman John L. Mica of Florida and Highways and Transit Subcommittee Chairman John J. Duncan, Jr. of Tennessee. No one yet knows what is on the Committee’s agenda, or for that matter on the Obama administration’s agenda, by way of fulfilling Obama’s State of the Union promise that long term Highway Trust Fund reauthorization legislation will be “fully paid for, attract private investment, and pick projects based on what’s best for the economy,” other than Congressman Duncan’s statement that “Increasing the gas tax is not the solution to addressing our infrastructure needs.”

Yes, we knew that two years ago when the Democrats ruled the House. So far, neither side of the aisle has put forth a viable alternative to higher motor fuel taxes, however. Congressman Duncan’s subcommittee website says “We must eliminate unnecessary bureaucratic red tape so that infrastructure projects can be built in half the time and taxpayer funds can be spent more efficiently.” Are they talking about eliminating environmental impact reviews?

In a statement issued just this morning, Duncan announced that “Today the House of Representatives passed a resolution to roll back non-security spending to 2008 levels.” At that pace, no motor fuel tax increase would be required to replenish the Highway Trust Fund.

So, despite the rhetoric, or perhaps because of it, I can be confident of only one thing: there won’t be any significant increase in infrastructure funding at the federal level any time soon.

Thursday, January 13, 2011

Another Blow To Illinois Clean Energy

The waning hours of the lame duck Illinois Senate session struck another blow against clean power generation in Illinois as the Illinois Senate defeated by a vote of 33-18 a bill authorizing Tenaska, Inc. to proceed with construction of the proposed $3.5 billion coal gasification/carbon capture and sequestration power plant near Taylorville. Over the last five years the State of Illinois has invested $23 million of the $40 million spent by Tenaska in planning and development expenditures for the proposed project.

Taylorville Mayor Greg Brotherton, who hung around the statehouse during the final vote in the wee hours of Wednesday morning, remains optimistic Tenaska may find other sources of funding to complete construction of the facility, though he expressed exasperation at the workings of the Illinois legislature. “It was a learning experience for me the past five or six weeks, and seeing how the legislature works, it’s just unreal,” Brotherton exclaimed.

Mary L. Renner, Director of the Taylorville/Christian County Economic Development Corporation, said the Energy Center site remains viable for other energy related development even if Tenaska pulls out of the carbon capture/coal gasification project. “To be able to draw this kind of attention says a great deal for the natural resources there,” said Renner.

Opponents of the bill asserted that the legislation would have required Illinois electric utilities to purchase power from the newly built facility at above market prices for the next 30 years in order to recover the state subsidized cost of building and operating the environmentally conscious, greenhouse gas limiting facility. “It would have been damaging to the state’s job-creation climate,” said Philip O’Connor, chairman of the Coalition to Stop Tenaska’s Overpriced Power.

Tenaska vice president Bart Ford said his company is not yet prepared to say it will walk away from its own $40 million dollar investment in the project, despite the Illinois Senate’s resounding defeat of the authorizing legislation. “We are currently evaluating our next course of action,” said Ford. “We believe there is a great deal of support in Illinois for the idea of clean coal power.”

The apparent collapse of this local effort at greenhouse gas control puts Illinois in the company of several European carbon capture and sequestration projects which have faltered due to the unfavorable economic factors involved in bringing carbon capture technology up to commercial scale.

Monday, December 13, 2010

Carbon Capture Takes Another Hit

The Obama administration’s pledge of $1 billion for construction of a major commercial scale power plant carbon capture project in Illinois, dubbed FutureGen 2.0, took another hit today with announcement of the economic failure of yet another in a series of European carbon capture projects subsidized by the European Commission. Illinois’ FutureGen 2.0 is a proposed a network of pipelines to deliver the sequestered carbon dioxide to a repository in Mattoon, where it would be stored underground, along with emissions from other plants in the region should the commercial scale carbon capture technology prove successful.

The 2.0 version of FutureGen is a scaled down version of an earlier, more ambitious project which began as planned construction of a ground up new 275 megawatt clean coal power generation facility in Mattoon, under the Bush administration. When the estimated $950 million price tag for the coal gasification facility more than doubled as construction estimates were finalized, FutureGen was revised to version 2.0 - revamping Ameren Corporation’s 200 megawatt Meredosia coal fired power facility with advanced combustion techniques, a new boiler, and an air separation unit to capture 90% of the carbon dioxide emissions.

The fourth hit in three months to carbon capture construction in the European Union came today with announcement of the financial failure and anticipated bankruptcy sale of Powerfuel plc’s proposed carbon capture facility at its 900 megawatt coal fired Hatfield power plant in South Yorkshire. Netherlands based accounting and consulting firm KPMG has been appointed administrator for the Powerfuel project. According to KPMG’s Richard Fleming, the Hatfield carbon capture development falls $1 billion short of capital investment needed, despite European Commission grants of $275 million in subsidies for the project.

Last October, Germany’s energy giant E.ON announced it was terminating development plans for carbon capture and sequestration on a commercial scale at its billion and a half megawatt coal fired power plant in Kingsnorth, U.K. That news was followed swiftly in November by announcement that both commercial backers bowed out of Finland’s carbon capture project at Meri Pori, and Royal Dutch Shell’s termination of plans for an underground carbon dioxide storage facility at Barendrecht.

Despite Powerfuel’s status as the only UK licensee for commercial scale carbon capture technology trials, and projections by UK’s Department on Energy and Climate Change that that carbon capture and sequestration is one of the cheapest forms of low carbon energy production, KPMG’s Fleming described the reasons for the financial failure of the Hatfield project: “Developing low-carbon energy generation requires a large amount of capital up front, and the CCS development falls $1 billion short of the investment needed to build the plant. … The substantial funding gap has not been addressed in the past 12 months, and accordingly the project has stalled.”

In light of this series of dramatic failures of carbon capture projects overseas, the silence from both Springfield and Washington about the prospects of completion for FutureGen 2.0 is deafening.

Thursday, December 9, 2010

Unemployment Benefit Extension Returns To Front Burner

In a deal struck between President Obama and Senate Republican leaders, legislation extending federal unemployment benefits for an additional 13 months, up to a total of 99 weeks, could be on the way to passage in both houses of Congress very soon. Trading the unemployment extension desired by Democrats for extension of Bush era tax cuts to even the wealthiest Americans for 2 years, Obama went against the grain of his own party politically. In his own defense, Obama said at a press conference yesterday “A long political fight carried over into next year might have been good politics, but it would be a bad deal for the economy, and a bad deal for the American people.”

The compromise package, carrying a price tag of a $700 billion increase in the nation’s deficit, includes the tax cut extensions, unemployment benefit extensions, a 2% cut in FICA taxes withheld from paychecks of working Americans, reinstatement of a 35% estate tax on inheritances of more than $5 million from a single decedent and $10 million per couple, and extension of the college tuition tax credit due to expire December 31, 2010. Also, businesses making capital investments next year will be permitted to expense the entire amount, rather than amortizing it over the life of the asset. The tax savings in 2011 are expected to total $120 billion for wage earners, and $150 billion for businesses.

Defending the deal, which comes on the heels of dual Senate defeats for proposals to extend the Bush era tax cuts only to families earning less than $250,000 per year, and then only to those earning over $1 million per year, Obama said: “The number one priority is doing what is right for the American people.”

Republican “Green” Legislation

Sitting on President Obama’s oval office desk for the past 5 days is a piece of legislation described by House and Senate Republicans as “green” legislation to create cutting edge energy conservation technology jobs. Called the Federal Buildings Personnel Training Act, and designated HR 5112 in the House and S 3250 in the Senate, the bill is supposed to cut federal government energy costs and train the federal building maintenance work force in the use of high performance technologies for energy conservation in federal buildings.

About 97% of federal office buildings use private contractors to maintain and manage the facilities, and according to House co-sponsors Judy Biggert (R-Ill.) and Russ Carnahan (R-Mo.), the legislation should cut the $7 billion spent annually on heating, cooling, powering and lighting federal facilities. GSA expects every dollar spent on training under this legislation to return $3.95 annually in energy cost savings. Senator Susan Collins (R-Me.), cosponsor of S 3250, quotes GSA as complaining that contractors responsible for managing federal facilities “lack qualified, well-trained people” to manage more than 500,000 federal buildings, structures, associated infrastructure and other physical assets in the U. S. and around the world.

The legislation was presented to Obama December 3, and awaits his signature. Interesting that the Republican climate change deniers were the ones to sponsor this bill in both houses. The stimulus legislation they have been complaining about for nearly 2 years appropriated $5.5 billion to GSA for upgrading energy efficiency of federal facilities, and ever since, GSA has been complaining that lack of proper expertise among facility operating personnel was a major roadblock in reaching federal government energy reduction goals. Once the bill is signed into law, training for the operators of the numerous federal buildings in the Chicago area should kick into high gear.